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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis for Apple Inc. (AAPL): deep quantitative and AI-powered analysis on Talos.
Price
$326.57
30D Expected Return
N/A
RSI (14)
65.0
neutral
Stochastic %K
71.47
Neutral
MACD
2.0000
Sharpe Ratio
1.39
Sortino Ratio
2.03
Treynor Ratio
N/A
Beta & Volatility
Beta 0.68
Volatility 25.00%
Max Drawdown
N/A
AAPL CAGR vs SPY CAGR
26.09%
Alpha over S&P 500
More analysis for AAPL
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Quantitative Analysis
VWAP
0.00▲
+1.02% above VWAP
RSI (14)
0.0●
Neutral
MACD
0.0000▼
N/A
VWAP
0.00▲
+1.02% above VWAP
Sharpe Ratio
0.00▲
Good (>1.0)
Sortino Ratio
0.00▲
Downside risk-adjusted return
CAGR
0.00%▲
Compound annual growth rate
Volatility (Ann.)
0.00%●
Annualized standard deviation
Beta
0.00●
Lower volatility than market
Risk Analysis
Sharpe Ratio
0.00▲
Good risk-adjusted returns
Sortino Ratio
0.00▲
Downside risk-adjusted return
Volatility (Ann.)
0.00%●
Risk level: Moderate
Beta
0.00●
Moderate — tracks market with less volatility
CAGR
0.00%▲
Compound annual growth rate
Risk Metrics Disclaimer
Risk metrics are calculated from historical data and assume stationary return distributions. They do not capture tail risk, regime changes, black swan events, or structural breaks. VaR and Expected Shortfall are model-dependent estimates. Beta is calculated against a broad market index and may not reflect specific factor exposures. Past risk characteristics do not guarantee future risk behavior. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or risk management guidance.
Technical Indicators
RSI (14)
65.0●
Neutral (30-70) — No extreme signal
MACD (12,26,9)
2.0000▼
N/A
VWAP
323.27▲
Price +1.02% above VWAP — Bullish intraday
Bollinger Bands
N/A●
N/A
Stochastic %K
71.5●
Neutral
Technical Analysis Disclaimer
Technical indicators are derived from historical price and volume data. They do not predict future price movements with certainty. Indicators can generate false signals, especially in ranging or low-volume markets. Always combine technical analysis with fundamental research, risk management, and your own investment thesis. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
How Talos Analyzes AAPL
Data Sources
- Alpha Vantage
- Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
- SEC EDGAR
- Bloomberg News API
- FinBERT sentiment model
Talos computes technical indicators using standard formulas applied to historical price and volume data sourced from financial data providers. RSI (14) uses Wilder's smoothing method. MACD (12,26,9) uses exponential moving averages. VWAP is calculated as the cumulative typical price weighted by volume over the trading session. Sharpe ratio uses the risk-free rate proxied by the 3-month Treasury bill. Sortino ratio uses downside deviation. CAGR is computed from the geometric mean of daily returns annualized over 252 trading days. Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily log returns. Beta is calculated via OLS regression against the S&P 500 (SPY) over the same lookback window. Bull/bear case prices are derived from Monte Carlo simulation of 10,000 paths using the stock's historical drift and volatility.
Analysis generated using Talos Quant Engine v1.0. Metrics are calculated from historical market data and are not predictions.
Important Disclaimer
This analysis is generated by automated quantitative models and AI systems for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance and model outputs are not indicative of future results. All investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. The author and Talos are not registered investment advisors. Consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
- What does the Talos analyze command show?
- The analyze command returns RSI, MACD, VWAP, Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, CAGR, and bull/bear scenarios for a stock — all computed from recent price data.
- What is RSI and why does it matter?
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a momentum oscillator ranging 0–100. Readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions; below 30 suggest oversold. It helps identify potential reversal points.
- What is MACD in stock analysis?
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) uses the difference between a 12-day and 26-day EMA to identify trend direction and momentum shifts. A MACD line crossing above the signal line is a bullish signal.
- What is the Sharpe ratio?
- The Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return — how much excess return you receive per unit of total risk. Higher values indicate better risk-adjusted performance.
- What is VWAP used for?
- VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) is the ratio of total value traded to total volume. Institutional traders use it as a benchmark; price above VWAP is considered bullish intraday.
- What is Talos?
- Talos is a natural-language market intelligence terminal. You type commands like 'Analyze NVDA' or 'Optimize AAPL MSFT' and Talos runs quantitative and AI-powered analysis instantly.
- Is Talos free to use?
- Talos is free to access. Simply visit https://stochastics.vercel.app/ and start typing commands in the terminal.
- What risks affect Apple Inc. (AAPL)?
- Apple Inc. (AAPL) has a beta of 0.68. This indicates moderate market correlation, with less volatility than the average market stock. Historical maximum drawdown in the analysis period is N/A%, and annualized volatility is 25.00%. These metrics are calculated from historical data and do not capture future regime changes or unforeseen events.
- How does AAPL volatility compare with the market?
- Apple Inc. (AAPL) has an annualized volatility of 25.00% and a beta of 0.68. This means AAPL is less volatile than the broader market (beta < 1), experiencing smaller price swings than average. The Volatility (Ann.) metric reflects the standard deviation of daily returns over the lookback period annualized to 252 trading days. Market volatility is typically represented by the S&P 500 (SPY) at approximately 15-20% annualized.
- What metrics does Talos track for AAPL?
- Talos tracks the following key quantitative metrics for Apple Inc. (AAPL): Current Price ($326.57), RSI (14) at 65.0, MACD at 2.0000, Sharpe Ratio at 1.39, annualized volatility at 25.00%, beta at 0.68, and CAGR relative to the S&P 500. Market capitalization is N/AM. These metrics are computed from historical market data using standard quantitative finance formulas and are updated regularly. They are not predictive of future performance.
- Is AAPL currently overbought or oversold based on RSI?
- Apple Inc. (AAPL) current RSI (14) is 65.0. This reading between 30 and 70 indicates neutral momentum with no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. RSI is calculated using Wilder's smoothing method over a 14-period lookback.
- What is the analysis timeframe for AAPL?
- Talos analyzes AAPL using a 252-trading-day lookback period. Bull and bear cases are generated from Monte Carlo simulations with 10,000 paths. All metrics are computed from historical price and volume data and do not constitute predictions of future performance.